Which world are you building?
Practicum for Volume 2, Chapter 10, "2030: Four Futures." Version: 2026-07. Time: 15 minutes. This is not fortune-telling. It reflects your decisions. A scenario is not weather, and every decision is a vote for one world.
The chapter describes four possible worlds in 2030 as choices rather than forecasts. The world that appears in your field will come from many decisions, including yours. This check shows which world your current decisions support.
The four worlds, based on who receives the gains and what happens to the value of human contribution:
- Platforms: everything is convenient, but almost nothing is yours. Rail owners receive the gains.
- Divide: people keep the same qualifications, but the ladder disappears and the gains go to a narrow group.
- Multiplication: the machine prepares; the person decides and becomes more valuable.
- Human premium: anything can be generated, so what cannot be faked becomes more valuable.
Choose the answer closest to your situation
| # | Question about your decision | Your choice |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Which channels bring sales or work? A) only platforms and aggregators; B) mostly platforms, few direct contacts; C) platforms plus a growing direct base; D) mostly direct relationships and my own name | |
| 2 | Do you have direct access to customers or an audience? A) no, everything is in someone else's systems; B) I have contacts but do not use them; C) I maintain my own channel or list; D) customers know me by name | |
| 3 | Where do the gains from AI go in your team or business? A) I cut labor costs and share nothing; B) I have not measured it; C) freed time goes into people's growth; D) people become more valuable because they decide and take responsibility | |
| 4 | What are you doing with your reputation? A) keeping a platform rating; B) nothing; C) building a portable name; D) my signature on the result is the product | |
| 5 | Your rails, such as models, clouds, and platforms: A) one provider, dependence not measured; B) one provider, but I am thinking about it; C) several plus a backup route; D) I own a junction of value | |
| 6 | What do you tell children or junior colleagues? A) "learn a safe profession"; B) I have not thought about it; C) "train your thinking and build a portfolio"; D) "make what cannot be generated" | |
| 7 | How do you respond to cheap output? A) make more of the same for less; B) do what everyone else does; C) take responsibility for review and the decision; D) own the full result | |
| 8 | Your bet for the next year: A) a specific tool or technology; B) no clear bet; C) assets that survive a change of scenario; D) a human junction: judgment and trust |
Count the answers
See which letter appears most often.
- Mostly A: your decisions support the Platform World. It is convenient now, but you are giving away the junction of value. Make one move toward something you own.
- Mostly B: you are moving by inertia. The surest way to lose is to make no choice. Start with No-Regret Moves.
- Mostly C: you are building the Multiplication World. Machines increase capacity while people grow. Keep going deeper.
- Mostly D: you are building the Human Premium World by investing in what cannot be faked. Check that you also have a backup route on the rails.
The world my decisions support: ___________________________
Next
Turn the result into action with No-Regret Moves, a portfolio that works in all four worlds. Separate a real shift from hype with Checking AGI Claims, current Signals Without Fog, and AI and the Labor Market.
Back: Volume 2 Workbook. Version: 2026-07.